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When GPU demand peaks

Algorithmic efficiency, architectural shifts, and capital saturation will flatten the compute growth curve

Dave Friedman's avatar
Dave Friedman
Oct 29, 2025
∙ Paid

TL;DR

The GPU boom is self-defeating: every dollar invested in efficiency erodes the scarcity that made GPUs valuable.

  • Algorithmic efficiency is collapsing FLOPs-per-capability by orders of magnitude—progress that lets intelligence compound while compute demand plateaus.

  • Architectural substitution is breaking Nvidia’s monopoly: custom ASICs and inference N…

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