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What if we're building the wrong kind of AI?

Ilya Sutskever's case that AGI won't come from a bigger LLM, and why that possibility destabilizes every GPU forecast

Dave Friedman's avatar
Dave Friedman
Nov 26, 2025
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TL;DR

  • Ilya isn’t warning about alignment. He’s arguing that trillions in GPU capex may be aimed at the wrong paradigm.

  • His premise: transformers interpolate; humans generalize. The gap is sample efficiency, robustness, and continual learning.

  • Bigger models now show diminishing returns: scaling improves benchmarks but not true generalization; failures get s…

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