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The Fantasy of Frictionless AGI: Why 50 GW by 2030 is a Pipe Dream

AGI is a civilization-scale project. That requires a lot of physical infrastructure

Dave Friedman's avatar
Dave Friedman
May 01, 2025
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Anthropic just released a public comment to the Department of Commerce asserting that powerful, human-equivalent AI systems will arrive by 2027. These systems, they claim, will perform Nobel-caliber work, control physical instruments, operate autonomously for days, and transform the U.S. economy. All of this will be powered by a massive domestic AI infr…

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