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The capital stack of the AI-energy boom

How frontier energy markets are underwriting the world's fastest compute buildout

Dave Friedman's avatar
Dave Friedman
Aug 12, 2025
∙ Paid

AI data centers are not technology assets in the way the public imagines. They are not the sterile, warehouse-like server barns that cloud computing conjures. In west Texas, North Dakota, the Oman desert, and the steppes of Kazakhstan, AI training hubs are, at their core, energy projects in disguise.

Each one is a bundle of real estate, power generation, internconnection, and compute infrastructure. All four layers have to be financed, contracted, and delivered in sequence, and the whole stack has to be capitalized in a way that can handle both operational volatility and market shocks in compute pricing.

In the Permian Basin, for example, a single 250 MW AI campus is an $800 million to $1.5 billion project, depending on the generation mix and GPU acquisition strategy. Returns can be exceptional—double-digit IRRs in some layers—but only if you understand where to enter the stack, and how to exit.

This post maps the capital anatomy of these facilities, so you can see why infrastructure investors, private equity, sovereign wealth funds, and even commodity traders are converging on this frontier.

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