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AI capex is not a single-year P&L problem

Why 2026 probably brings digestion and remix, not collapse, and what that means for data center buildouts

Dave Friedman's avatar
Dave Friedman
Aug 19, 2025
∙ Paid

When you read headlines about the AI capex boom, it can feel dizzying. The numbers are staggering: hundreds of billions in spending commitments, entire supply chains re-wired for GPUs and high-bandwidth memory, data center power demand outstripping cities. Then you see a tweet like Josh Wolfe’s, which compares that spending to the relatively modest reve…

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